Base Rate: COVID-19 Hospitalisations
COVID-19 Hospitalisations COVID-19 hospitalisation data are openly reported but the information provided is being misrepresented. Take, for example, the following Facebook post: Facebook 24 Jan 2022 While accurate with regard to the numbers, Peter is implying that vaccination does not work as more vaccinated people are in hospital than unvaccinated people. This is a misrepresentation because the emphasis Peter makes is on the absolute number rather than the rate of hospitalisations among vaccinated versus unvaccinated individuals. For example, let’s use data approximately based on the figures available from the same source as Peter’s, namely NSW Health data. # Population data (per 1,000 people for rate calculation) total_population <- 1000 vaccination_rate <- 0.929 # 92.9% vaccination rate in NSW, Jan 2022 vaccinated_population <- vaccination_rate * total_population unvaccinated_population <- (1 - vaccination_rate) * total_population # Hospitalisation numbers f...